← All guides / Tracker

Tracker

What it is

Tracker is the bet log and CLV measurement tool. Every pick you place should land here. Tracker captures the price you got, the closing price, and computes CLV automatically. Over hundreds of bets, CLV is a far more honest measure of skill than W/L.

When to use it

How to read it

FieldMeaning
Date / GameWhen and what.
SelectionThe exact bet (side, line, market).
BookWhere you placed it.
Bet PriceThe American odds you got.
Stake (units)How much you risked, in units.
Closing PriceThe line at game start. Auto-captured by our scanner.
CLVClosing line value: how much better (or worse) your price was vs the close.
ResultWin / Loss / Push, auto-graded.
P/LProfit or loss in units, accounting for the price you got.
Tier / SourceWhat surfaced the bet (Best Plays A, All Edges B, Game Lab, gut).

Worked example

Example log
Bet:        Lakers -3.5 -110
Book:       FanDuel
Stake:      1.0u
Close:      Lakers -4.5 -110
CLV:        +1.0 point (~+4.5%)
Result:     L (Lakers won by 3)
P/L:        -1.1u
Verdict:    Lost the bet, won the closing line. Long-run, this kind of bet wins.

You lost the unit, but you got a price the market eventually moved past. Repeat this 200 times and you are a winning bettor, even if the W/L looks unimpressive month to month.

Common mistakes

  1. Skipping the log when the bet is small. If you would not log it, do not bet it.
  2. Backfilling from memory. Memory is selective. Log when you place, not at end of day.
  3. Judging by W/L only. 30 bets is a coin flip. CLV stabilizes faster.
  4. Forgetting to mark the source. If you do not know why you bet it, you cannot improve.
  5. Ignoring book mix. If your CLV is great on one book and bad on another, the second book is moving on you. Adjust.

Related